Paul Brandus
Paul Brandus
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RECENT ARTICLES
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Have senior citizens abandoned Trump?

Have senior citizens abandoned Trump?

One of the groups that powered Donald Trump’s surprise White House win in 2016 was seniors. He won 52% of that group, to Hillary Clinton’s 45%. But the president appears to be in deep trouble with them now. A Wall Street Journal/NBC News survey last month , 62% to 35%, while a : 60% for Biden 39% for Trump—a 21-point gap.Those are national polls, but even in swing states that will decide the election, Trump looks to be in trouble. Eleven surveys conducted over the past few weeks : 18 points in Michigan, 17 in Wisconsin, 9 in Pennsylvania—the three states that put Trump over the top in 2016....

marketwatch.com
Paul Brandus
Oct 27
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Biden will win, polls say. But the stock market is sending a different signal

Biden will win, polls say. But the stock market is sending a different signal

With three weeks to go, President Trump’s re-election bid is in trouble. At least that’s what the polls show. But it’s not what the stock market is signaling. Based on nearly a century’s worth of election-year data, Trump may yet win.“A rising stock market tends to be a ratification of the present policies being satisfying to the investing public.”Here’s the research, and it is compelling: Since 1928, whenever the S&P 500 Index of the largest U.S. stocks has risen in the three months prior to a presidential election, the party that controlled the White House won 90% of the time. “If you...

marketwatch.com
Paul Brandus
Oct 13
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New blow to workers: Some companies are cutting 401(k) contributions

New blow to workers: Some companies are cutting 401(k) contributions

As if a savage market hasn’t inflicted enough damage on retirement accounts held by millions of American workers, many are suffering from an additional body blow: companies hammered by the coronavirus are cutting contributions to employees’ 401(k) plans in a desperate bid to save cash.Hotel giant Marriottwhich began the year with some 174,000 workers, started delaying matching contributions earlier this year, saying it would put off payments until September. Now, other companies are announcing similar moves. The reports that Amtrak, travel tech firm Sabre Corp.and at least two national...

marketwatch.com
Paul Brandus
Aug 6
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Trump is odd man out as approval ratings soar for world leaders’ handling of the coronavirus pandemic

Trump is odd man out as approval ratings soar for world leaders’ handling of the coronavirus pandemic

History reveals patterns. During a crisis, Americans typically rally around the flag — and their president. During the Persian Gulf War in 1991, George H.W. Bush’s approval soared 30 percentage points in six weeks to 89%. His son’s rocketed 40 points — in 10 days to 90% — following the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11, 2001.Numbers like these — clearly bipartisan and nearly unanimous — tell us that while Americans are always hungry for leadership, that hunger is never so great as when it counts most: When lives are on the line, when there has been a shock to the system, when we are scared and...

marketwatch.com
Paul Brandus
Apr 14
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Donald Trump is not America's first racist president, but hopefully he'll be our last

Donald Trump is not America's first racist president, but hopefully he'll be our last

Why does Trump hate the things that make our country great? And how do the rest of us get beyond this hatred and ignorance? It was amusing at the start of the great racist tweet controversy to hear the media asking, “Is President Donald Trump a racist?” We are well beyond such questions. “I am the least racist person you have ever met,” he has said on numerous occasions. If you were living solo on a deserted island and he showed up, that might be true, but for everyone else, it’s just another one of his delusional claims. In fact, I have met the president myself, and he’s off by one...

usatoday.com
Paul Brandus
Jul 17
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