christophe-barraud.com
christophe-barraud.com
Chief Economist and Strategist at Market Securities since 2011, I have been awarded by Bloomberg the title of Top Forecaster of the U.S. Economy (since 2012), Eurozone Economy (since 2015) and Chinese Economy (since 2017).Source
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United States Covid-19: Daily Summary (January 24th) - Christophe Barraud

United States Covid-19: Daily Summary (January 24th) - Christophe Barraud

 University of Michigan pauses all athletics 'until further notice' after confirmed cases of COVID-19 variant.— USA TODAY (@USATODAY)We are getting the vaccine out faster every day, but supply is our primary issue. As shared this week, we could probably administer 250,000 vaccine a week to Kentuckians but the supply simply isn't there.— Governor Andy Beshear (@GovAndyBeshear) Today's indicators:• 4,588 new cases• 293 new hospitalizations• 9.00% positivity rate (7-day avg.)It’s a cold Saturday so if you do need to go outside, bundle up, wear a mask, practice social distancing and avoid large...

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Saturday Brief - January 23rd 2021 - Christophe Barraud

Saturday Brief - January 23rd 2021 - Christophe Barraud

 Wall Street's main indexes were mixed on Friday as hopes dimmed for a full economic reopening in the coming months and shares of blue-chip stocks Intel and IBM were hit hard following their quarterly results. Read more— Reuters Business (@ReutersBiz)🇺🇸 : Daily Summary (January 23rd)➡ Regional/national data— Christophe Barraud🛢 (@C_Barraud)🇺🇸 | U.S. Existing Home Sales Surprised Upward In December Despite Record Low Inventory— Christophe Barraud🛢 (@C_Barraud)🇺🇸 | U.S. 30-Year Rate Fell Slightly This Week— Christophe Barraud🛢 (@C_Barraud)Biden is raising blood pressure across the oil...

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Crypto Brief - January 23rd 2021 - Christophe Barraud

Crypto Brief - January 23rd 2021 - Christophe Barraud

 British police partner with Komainu to custody confiscated crypto-assets (via )— The Block (@TheBlock__)MicroStrategy buys additional bitcoin worth $10 million— The Block (@TheBlock__) Central bankers and crypto-twitter perennially in opposition; analysis of scale of crypto-crime and the prospect for regulation: by— Forbes Crypto (@ForbesCrypto) Stablecoins in circulation grew ~6x – from $5.8B to $33B in 2020.2021+ will be explosive with the launch of Diem (Libra) & rise of decentralized stablecoins (Frax, Fei, ESD et al).Just like email made the Internet mainstream, stablecoins will...

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Morning Brief - January 25th 2021 - Christophe Barraud

Morning Brief - January 25th 2021 - Christophe Barraud

 🇺🇸 : Daily Summary (January 25th)➡ Regional/national data➡ Restrictions➡ Vaccine Tracker— Christophe Barraud🛢 (@C_Barraud)Biden to ban most non-US citizens traveling from South Africa over new COVID-19 variant: report— The Hill (@thehill)Biden officials hold call with bipartisan senators on $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief plan— The Hill (@thehill)Biden talks NATO, climate change in first presidential call with France's Macron— The Hill (@thehill)U.S. rejoins fight against climate change at high level summit— Reuters Business (@ReutersBiz)Dollar firm as economic, pandemic gloom damp risk...

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Europe Covid-19: Daily Summary (January 23rd) - Christophe Barraud

Europe Covid-19: Daily Summary (January 23rd) - Christophe Barraud

 1/21. Jan 22 to Jan 28-Daily epidemic forecasting for 209 countries/territories. Vaccine figures per country in summary tables.Dashboard: Data source: & Powered by &— Antoine FLAHAULT (@FLAHAULT) Germany's confirmed coronavirus cases rise by 16,417: RKI— Reuters (@Reuters) ➡️Gráficas de casos notificados por día y acumulados en 14 y 7 días.Hoy hay 42.885 casos nuevos. El viernes pasado fueron 40.197. Hace 2 viernes 25.456. Hace 3 viernes fue festivo.— ngb padel (@ngbpadel2)🇪🇸 DATOS COVID-19 ESPAÑA🟡 CASOS NUEVOS✔️ +42.885 total✔️ 18.187 día previo🔴 400 FALLECIDOS🏥 27.462 HOSP. [+920 🔴]🚑...

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Crypto Brief - January 22nd 2021 - Christophe Barraud

Crypto Brief - January 22nd 2021 - Christophe Barraud

 The premium to NAV on Grayscale's Bitcoin trust has gone from over 35% to under 5% in just the last month.— Bespoke (@bespokeinvest)Some enthusiasts believe this to be a positive sign for the market but others warn that there is more that needs to be done.— Bitcoin News (@BTCTN) Bitcoin's biggest mining pool may be behind the BTC price drop, but buyers stepped in— Jean-Charles GAND (@jeancharlesgand)JPMorgan Tries To Slam Bitcoin Again, Fails Spectacularly— zerohedge (@zerohedge)No, There Was No Double-Spending In Bitcoin— zerohedge (@zerohedge)In their latest report, shows that the share...

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Europe Covid-19: Daily Summary (January 24th) - Christophe Barraud

Europe Covid-19: Daily Summary (January 24th) - Christophe Barraud

 1/21. Jan 23 to Jan 29 –Daily epidemic forecasting for 209 countries/territories. Vaccine figures per country in summary tables.Dashboard: Data source: & Powered by &— Antoine FLAHAULT (@FLAHAULT) 's confirmed coronavirus cases rise by 12,257 to 2,134,936 – RKI – Reuters— Macro Brief (@macroandfinance) 🇪🇸 DATOS COVID-19 ESPAÑA🟡 35.192 CASOS NUEVOS PDIA✔️ 16/01 —> 35.387✔️ 09/01 —> 27.208⏸ Las CCAA notifican 195 positivos menos que el sábado pasado (-0,55% 🟢)⚠️ —> 😷 + 🔛 + 🧼 + 🌬— Miguel Ángel Reinoso (@mianrey)2/6) ÉVOLUTION DE publiée aujourd'hui, 23/01 à 10h04, correspondant hier (3...

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U.S. Mortgage Refinancing Applications Dropped Last Week - Christophe Barraud

U.S. Mortgage Refinancing Applications Dropped Last Week - Christophe Barraud

 U.S. mortgage refinancing applications retraced last week. Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) data showed that the refinance index decreased by 4.7 percent in week ended Jan. 15 (). However, mortgage refinancing applications were up 86.7 percent compared to the same week one year ago.  , MBA’s Associate Vice President of Economic and Industry Forecasting, said that “After a post-holiday surge of refinances, higher rates chipped away at demand. There was a 5 percent drop in refinance activity, driven by a 13.5 percent pullback in government refinances.” As a matter of fact, the report...

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Crypto Brief - January 21st 2021 - Christophe Barraud

Crypto Brief - January 21st 2021 - Christophe Barraud

 Massive news. BlackRock—the multi-trillion dollar asset manager—opens door to possible bitcoin futures allocation for certain funds it manages, according to recent filing.— Frank Chaparro (@fintechfrank)NEW: , a former official and onetime board member, is likely to become the next banking regulator running the . reports— CoinDesk (@CoinDesk)" are a particular concern. I think many are used … mainly for illicit financing," said incoming Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen.— Bitcoin News (@BTCTN)Bitcoin’s increasingly illiquid supply could be bullish for its price, with new retail and...

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U.S. 30-Year Mortgage Rate Fell Slightly This Week - Christophe Barraud

U.S. 30-Year Mortgage Rate Fell Slightly This Week - Christophe Barraud

 U.S. mortgage rates fell in the third week of 2021, with the 30-year mortgage rate declining slightly after hitting . According to , the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 2.77 percent for the week ending January 21, 2021 (down from 2.79 percent last week). A year ago, it stood at 3.60 percent.  Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist said “Mortgage rates have hovered near historic lows for almost a year, fueling purchase and refinance activity amid a global health crisis”. He added “We’re now seeing rates fluctuate a bit as political and economic factors drive Treasury yields higher.” As...

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United States Covid-19: Daily Summary (January 20th) - Christophe Barraud

United States Covid-19: Daily Summary (January 20th) - Christophe Barraud

 -19: California’s Surge Recedes But Alarm Grows Over Variants – NYT— Macro Brief (@macroandfinance) Today’s indicators:• 255 new hospitalizations• 5,009 new cases• 8.23% positivity rate (7-day avg.)THIS is why a full vaccine supply is so critical. We NEED more doses so we can fight back.— Mayor Bill de Blasio (@NYCMayor)Today's update on the numbers:Total COVID hospitalizations are at 9,236.Of the 177,269 tests reported yesterday, 12,512 were positive (7.06% of total).Sadly, there were 167 fatalities.— Andrew Cuomo (@NYGovCuomo)The positivity rate for all PCR tests recorded on January 15th...

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Morning Brief - January 22nd 2021 - Christophe Barraud

Morning Brief - January 22nd 2021 - Christophe Barraud

 The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at record highs on optimism about President Biden's stimulus plan after data showed a weakening labor market recovery. Read more— Reuters Business (@ReutersBiz)🇺🇸 : Daily Summary (January 22nd)➡ Regional/national data— Christophe Barraud🛢 (@C_Barraud)🇺🇸 Stimulus Gets Skeptical Response From Moderates – Bloomberg— Christophe Barraud🛢 (@C_Barraud)Biden to sign order to increase pandemic-related food aid— Reuters Business (@ReutersBiz)New York City traffic levels are showing a sluggish start to the year, a reminder that a vaccine-led recovery will take time—...

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U.S. Existing Home Sales Surprised Upward In December Despite Record Low Inventory - Christophe Barraud

U.S. Existing Home Sales Surprised Upward In December Despite Record Low Inventory - Christophe Barraud

 As , Existing home sales surprised upward in December but rebounded and came largely above my estimate. According to the , they increased by 0.7% MoM, reaching 6.76M ().  The jump came despite housing inventory fell again in December. According to the report “Total housing inventory at the end of December totaled 1.07 million units, down 16.4% from November and down 23% from one year ago (1.39 million). Unsold inventory sits at an all-time low 1.9-month supply at the current sales pace, down from 2.3 months in November and down from the 3.0-month figure recorded in December 2019.” In this...

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Morning Brief - January 21st 2021 - Christophe Barraud

Morning Brief - January 21st 2021 - Christophe Barraud

 Wall Street's main indexes closed at record highs following the inauguration of Joe Biden as the 46th President of the United States; solid results from Netflix sparked a rally in technology shares. Read more— Reuters Business (@ReutersBiz)🇺🇸 : Daily Summary (January 21st)➡ Regional/national data— Christophe Barraud🛢 (@C_Barraud)BREAKING: Biden today will issue a sweeping set of executive orders to tackle the pandemic, reversing many of Trump's most heavily criticized policies— Bloomberg TV (@BloombergTV)Yellen's call to 'act big' reflects long re-think on big government debt— Reuters...

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Crypto Brief - January 19th 2021 - Christophe Barraud

Crypto Brief - January 19th 2021 - Christophe Barraud

 The Bible on the blockchain? Block number 666,666 on the Bitcoin blockchain had a message inscribed to it that we can all get behind.— Cointelegraph (@Cointelegraph)Risk appetite for is on the rise as long BTC flips long tech on BofA's latest fund manager survey— Cointelegraph (@Cointelegraph) investors are growing euphoric after its price double since mid-December 2020.Data from shows that each time the market sentiment moved into "euphoria/greed" in the past, a steep correction followed.— Ali Martinez (@satoshilatino)’s rivals are taking advantage of recent gyrations in the largest...

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United States Covid-19: Daily Summary (January 19th) - Christophe Barraud

United States Covid-19: Daily Summary (January 19th) - Christophe Barraud

 Biden CDC pick confident there’s enough Covid vaccine to meet target amid confusion over stockpile – CNBC— Macro Brief (@macroandfinance)California recommends pausing a batch of Moderna vaccines after possible ‘severe’ allergic reactions— TODAY (@TODAYonline) Let’s take a look at our indicators to kick off the week:• 281 new hospitalizations• 4,519 new cases• 8.29% positivity rate (7-day avg.)We’re not out of the woods yet. Keep wearing your masks. Keep social distancing. We will win this fight.— Mayor Bill de Blasio (@NYCMayor)Today's update on the numbers:Total COVID hospitalizations are...

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Jan 19
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Morning Brief - January 18th 2021 - Christophe Barraud

Morning Brief - January 18th 2021 - Christophe Barraud

 ⚠ Brief ⚠*, ,HT , , , , , , , , , , ,— Christophe Barraud🛢 (@C_Barraud) 🇺🇸 : Daily Summary (January 18th)➡ Regional/national data— Christophe Barraud🛢 (@C_Barraud)🇺🇸 Shorts Mount Before Yellen Outlines Market-Based Policy – Bloomberg*Link:— Christophe Barraud🛢 (@C_Barraud)The value of the dollar should be determined by markets, Janet Yellen is prepared to say at her confirmation hearing Tuesday to be Treasury secretary— The Wall Street Journal (@WSJ)🇺🇸 🇨🇦 indicates plans to cancel XL pipeline permit on 1st day in office, sources confirm – CBC— Christophe Barraud🛢 (@C_Barraud)The U.S....

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Jan 18
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Europe Covid-19: Daily Summary (January 18th) - Christophe Barraud

Europe Covid-19: Daily Summary (January 18th) - Christophe Barraud

 1/21. Jan 17 to Jan 23-Our daily epidemic forecasting for 209 countries/territories. Vaccine figures per country in summary tables.Dashboard: Data source: & Powered by &— Antoine FLAHAULT (@FLAHAULT) 's confirmed coronavirus cases rise by 7,141 – RKI – Reuters— Macro Brief (@macroandfinance)🇩🇪 The German chancellery wants to impose a nationwide nighttime curfew to try to contain the spread of the coronavirus, Business Insider reported, citing unidentified people with knowledge of the decision.— Christophe Barraud🛢 (@C_Barraud) 🇪🇸 DATOS COVID-19 ESPAÑA🟡 CASOS NUEVOS PDIA✔️ 16/01 y 17/01 —>...

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Jan 18
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Europe Covid-19: Daily Summary (January 20th) - Christophe Barraud

Europe Covid-19: Daily Summary (January 20th) - Christophe Barraud

 1/21. Jan 19 to Jan 25-Our daily epidemic forecasting for 209 countries/territories. Vaccine figures per country in summary tables.Dashboard: Data source: & Powered by &— Antoine FLAHAULT (@FLAHAULT) Germany reports 15,974 new coronavirus cases, 1,148 deaths in latest update today— ForexLive (@ForexLive) ➡️Gráficas de casos notificados por día y acumulados en 14 y 7 días.Hoy hay 34.291 casos nuevos. El martes pasado fueron 25.438. Hace 2 martes 23.700. Hace 3 martes 14.089.— ngb padel (@ngbpadel2)🇪🇸 DATOS COVID-19 ESPAÑA🟡 CASOS NUEVOS✔️ +34.291 total✔️ 15.578 día previo🔴 404 FALLECIDOS🏥...

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Morning Brief - January 19th 2021 - Christophe Barraud

Morning Brief - January 19th 2021 - Christophe Barraud

 🇺🇸 : Daily Summary (January 19th)➡ Regional/national data— Christophe Barraud🛢 (@C_Barraud)Public schools in Los Angeles have asked the state and county health authorities for permission to serve as mass inoculation sites. “We’re raising our hand and saying, ‘Put me in, coach — we can help,’” the district superintendent said.— The New York Times (@nytimes)Janet Yellen to tell confirmation hearing that US should ‘act big’— Financial Times (@FT)Tomorrow Q4 Earnings Begin In Earnest: Here's What To Expect… And Why They Don't Matter— zerohedge (@zerohedge)THE MEMO: Biden prepares for sea of...

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Jan 19
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United States Covid-19: Daily Summary (January 17th) - Christophe Barraud

United States Covid-19: Daily Summary (January 17th) - Christophe Barraud

 🇺🇸 Plans 10 Days of Action on Four ‘Overlapping’ Crises – Bloomberg— Christophe Barraud🛢 (@C_Barraud) Here’s a look at today’s indicators:• 285 new hospitalizations• 4,645 new cases• 8.6% positivity rate (7-day avg.)If you feel sick, stay home.Practice social distancing.Wear your mask.Get tested.Find a site near you at— Mayor Bill de Blasio (@NYCMayor)Today's update on the numbers:Total COVID hospitalizations are at 8,888.Of the 277,286 tests reported yesterday, 15,998 were positive (5.77% of total).Sadly, there were 157 fatalities.— Andrew Cuomo (@NYGovCuomo)NEW JERSEY UPDATE:➡️5,246 new...

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Jan 17
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Europe Covid-19: Daily Summary (January 19th) - Christophe Barraud

Europe Covid-19: Daily Summary (January 19th) - Christophe Barraud

 🇳🇴 Finds No Direct Link Between Elderly Deaths and – Bloomberg— Christophe Barraud🛢 (@C_Barraud)1/21. Jan 18 to Jan 24-Our daily epidemic forecasting for 209 countries/territories. Vaccine figures per country in summary tables.Dashboard: Data source: & Powered by &— Antoine FLAHAULT (@FLAHAULT) Germany reports 11,369 new coronavirus cases, 989 deaths in latest update today— ForexLive (@ForexLive) ➡️Gráficas de casos notificados por día y acumulados en 14 y 7 días.Desde el viernes hay 84.287 casos nuevos. El lunes pasado fueron 61.422. No son comparables con los 2 lunes previos, ya que...

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Jan 19
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Week Ahead - w3 (2021) - Christophe Barraud

Week Ahead - w3 (2021) - Christophe Barraud

 🇺🇸 U.S. equity and bond markets are closed for the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday (18)🇪🇺 Euro-area finance ministers meet, with a full gathering of the EU ministers following on Jan. 19, to discuss the implementation of the recovery fund – Bloomberg (18)🇮🇹 Prime minister Giuseppe Conte faces a parliamentary vote on his future on Tuesday after former prime minister Matteo Renzi’s small Italia Viva party resigned from the coalition government – FT (19)🇪🇺 The European Commission will circulate a plan for coordination on vaccinesacross the bloc – Bloomberg (19)🇺🇸 Janet Yellen is expected to...

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Jan 18
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Saturday Brief - January 16th 2021 - Christophe Barraud

Saturday Brief - January 16th 2021 - Christophe Barraud

 | Goldman Sachs to Enter Market ‘Soon’ With Custody Play: Source – Coindesk— Christophe Barraud🛢 (@C_Barraud)| Fee Wars Erupt as Upstart Targets Grayscale’s Billions – Bloomberg— Christophe Barraud🛢 (@C_Barraud)🌎 Face Greater Oversight Under Gensler-Led SEC – Bloomberg— Christophe Barraud🛢 (@C_Barraud) 🇺🇸 : Daily Summary (January 16th)➡ Regional/national data— Christophe Barraud🛢 (@C_Barraud)U.S. steps up claims that Covid-19 may have escaped from Chinese lab— Bloomberg Asia (@BloombergAsia)The winter surge in Covid cases is hampering the U.S.'s economic recovery— Bloomberg Economics...

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Jan 16
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Europe Covid-19: Daily Summary (January 16th) - Christophe Barraud

Europe Covid-19: Daily Summary (January 16th) - Christophe Barraud

 1/21. Jan 15 to Jan 21-Our daily epidemic forecasting for 209 countries/territories. Vaccine figures per country in summary tables.Dashboard: Data source: & Powered by &— Antoine FLAHAULT (@FLAHAULT) BERLIN (GERMANY) – The number of confirmed COVID cases have increased by 18,678 to 2,019,636. The data was released from the Robert Koch Institute (RKI) for infectious diseases on Saturday. The reported death toll rose by 980 to 45,974, the tally showed.— Asian Herald (@AsianHeraldNews) ➡️Gráficas de casos notificados por día y acumulados en 14 y 7 días.Hoy hay 40.197 casos nuevos. El viernes...

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Jan 16
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Christophe Barraud

Christophe Barraud

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