fivethirtyeight.com
fivethirtyeight.com
FiveThirtyEight, sometimes rendered as 538, is a website that focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008 as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. In August 2010, the blog became a licensed feature of The New York Times online. It was renamed FiveThirtyEight: Nate Silver's Political Calculus. In July 2013, ESPN acquired FiveThirtyEight, hiring Silver as editor-in-chief and a contributor for ESPN.com; the new publication launched on March 17, 2014. Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics and popular culture. In 2018, the operations were transferred to ESPN sister property ABC News.Source
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Once You Get The COVID-19 Vaccine, Can You Still Infect Others?

Once You Get The COVID-19 Vaccine, Can You Still Infect Others?

Now that the world has successfully completed history’s fastest development of a new vaccine, you might be wondering why we don’t always just make one this fast. If the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines are safe and effective and the process to produce them didn’t cut any corners … well, why does it normally take around a decade to do something we just did in less than a year? The answer to that question is inextricably tied up with another question floating around: Once you get the vaccine, can you just go back to your normal life full of hugging people and not wearing a mask? If only we knew...

Dec 18
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GOP Politicians Are Much More Resistant To Gun Control Than GOP Voters Are

GOP Politicians Are Much More Resistant To Gun Control Than GOP Voters Are

Polls show that Republican voters prioritize gun rights over gun control but aren’t universally opposed to restrictions on firearms. In fact, most Republicans support expanding background checks. Most back “red flag” provisions allowing the police to take guns away from people deemed dangerous by a judge. A majority support requiring a license to purchase a gun. So with Democrats calling on the GOP-controlled Senate to take action on gun control in the wake of last weekend’s mass shootings in El Paso, Texas, and Dayton, Ohio — in particular, to pass a bill adopted in February by the...

August 7, 2019
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How Jayson Tatum Changed His Game And Became A Star

How Jayson Tatum Changed His Game And Became A Star

Back in 2017, the Boston Celtics secured the No. 1 overall selection in the NBA draft thanks to a pick swap acquired in the famed Paul Pierce/Kevin Garnett blockbuster trade. Just about everyone thought that University of Washington guard Markelle Fultz was the top available prospect, but Celtics general manager Danny Ainge saw things differently. Rather than standing pat and selecting the player nearly everyone viewed as the best prospect, Ainge traded down and almost immediately declared that he expected to get the same player at No. 3 that he would have taken at No. 1. The twists and...

February 23, 2020
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Where The Latest COVID-19 Models Think We're Headed — And Why They Disagree

Where The Latest COVID-19 Models Think We're Headed — And Why They Disagree

Models predicting the potential spread of the COVID-19 pandemic have become a fixture of American life. Yet each model tells a different story about the loss of life to come, making it hard to know which one is “right.” But COVID-19 models aren’t made to be unquestioned oracles. They’re not trying to tell us one precise future, but rather the range of possibilities given the facts on the ground. One of their more sober tasks is predicting the number of Americans who will die due to COVID-19. FiveThirtyEight — with the help of data compiled by the COVID-19 Forecast Hub — has assembled 15...

May 1, 2020
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The Best NBA Playoff Games To Watch While Sports Are Shut Down

The Best NBA Playoff Games To Watch While Sports Are Shut Down

By and We right now, but we can revisit the greatest games in history — at least those that are up on YouTube. We used statistics and expert opinions to look for some of the all-time greatest upsets, comebacks, matchups and most memorable games, then we collected video of those games in this archive. To relive those moments, filter to see the games in each category — and scroll down to see the criteria we used to find these particular games — or just hit the “random” button and let us pick a perfect game for you.Watch a random game 🎲showing   older games more recent games showing How did we...

April 16, 2020
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The Atlanta Falcons Are Hoarding First-Round Talent

The Atlanta Falcons Are Hoarding First-Round Talent

No NFL team believes in the power of first-round draft picks more than the Atlanta Falcons. Before they even make their choice with the in this year’s draft, set for April 23 to 25, the Falcons are lousy with the best of the draft’s best. They’re set to open the 2020 season with at least boasting first-round pedigrees — and they could go a perfect 11 for 11 depending on how the shakes out.Of course, starters in April aren’t always starters in September, let alone December. But if Atlanta’s projected offensive starters can stay healthy, for draft talent on one side of the ball. In fact, it’s...

April 15, 2020
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Election Preview: Sanders Looks Strongest In Washington, Idaho And North Dakota — But The Races Are Tight

Election Preview: Sanders Looks Strongest In Washington, Idaho And North Dakota — But The Races Are Tight

Nathaniel Rakich is FiveThirtyEight’s elections analyst.Filed underYou are now subscribed!Sign me up

March 10, 2020
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Sanders Could Lose A Third Of His Delegates, Making For A Messy Convention

Sanders Could Lose A Third Of His Delegates, Making For A Messy Convention

Primary season began back on Feb. 3 in Iowa with a competitive, multicandidate race for the Democratic presidential nomination, and some reasonable chance that the process would end with at the national convention in Milwaukee. However, after a string of primary losses in March and April, Sen. Bernie Sanders and former Vice President Joe Biden is now the presumptive Democratic nominee.But that doesn’t mean that delegate counting is over. There are still 24 delayed and reconfigured contests with a combined 1,555 delegates at stake. Sure, Biden has already amassed 1,293 delegates and is very...

April 24, 2020
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What Happens If A Nominee Dies Before The General Election?

What Happens If A Nominee Dies Before The General Election?

Former Vice President Joe Biden and President Donald Trump are among the oldest candidates to ever vie for the presidency. And we’re in the middle of a global pandemic. This might be morbid, but what happens if one of them is, er, incapacitated before the general election? Elections analyst Geoffrey Skelley explains.Geoffrey Skelley is an elections analyst at FiveThirtyEight.Tony Chow is a video producer for FiveThirtyEight.Filed underYou are now subscribed!Sign me up

April 17, 2020
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