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Moscow Expanding Diplomatic Contacts With Less Prominent Countries in Africa

Moscow Expanding Diplomatic Contacts With Less Prominent Countries in Africa

Russia’s involvement in Africa over the last decade has attracted attention particularly when it has involved Moscow’s use of private military companies to support one or another side of civil conflicts there (see , January 10, 2020; see , January 20, 2021) or when it has sought to establish a longer-term military presence in the form of local bases or dual-use facilities (see , November 25, 2020). But far less attention has been given to Russian diplomatic efforts, economic involvement, and use of soft power to gain allies, in large measure because Moscow has been able to act in these...

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3d ago
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Moscow Expanding Ties With Iran to Counter Growing Turkish Influence Around Caspian

Moscow Expanding Ties With Iran to Counter Growing Turkish Influence Around Caspian

Moscow is alarmed by the expansion of Turkish influence in the Caspian region, most immediately by Turkey’s enthusiasm for trans-Caspian natural gas pipelines, something that could undercut Russia’s ability to dominate that market. In response, Russia has expanded its own naval activities in the Caspian to signal that it remains a force to be reckoned with there because it could interrupt such flows by force (, February 23; , February 16).These Russian actions have, in turn, been concerning to Azerbaijan, the chief beneficiary of the expansion of Turkish influence in the Caspian region and...

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Feb 25
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Iran Seeks to Reroute North-South Transport Corridor to Armenia, Away From Azerbaijan

Iran Seeks to Reroute North-South Transport Corridor to Armenia, Away From Azerbaijan

Iran emerged as a potential loser from the Russia-brokered trilateral truce accords that ended last autumn’s 44-day Second Karabakh War between Armenia and Azerbaijan (see January 25). Therefore, Tehran is seeking ways to reposition itself into the new situation in line with its interests. Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif’s five-country regional tour of Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Russia and Turkey, between January 25 and 28, clearly carried that mission (, January 30). In particular, a top agenda item during this series of foreign visits was the proposal to reactivate a Soviet-era...

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Feb 22
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Facing Up to China’s Military Interests in the Arctic

Facing Up to China’s Military Interests in the Arctic

Introduction[1][2]The History of China’s Arctic Submarine Ambitions[3][4]The Role of Russia and the BRIChina’s Long-Term Plans for the Arctic[5][6]China’s Maritime Presence in the Arctic[7]China and the Northern Sea Route[8][9][10][11][12]Conclusion[13]Notes[1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11][12][13]In the latest episode of Eastern Approaches, Jamestown President Glen...Jamestown’s Non-Resident Fellow Matthew Brazil discussed Chinese espionage practices in an interview with WallStTV, published on February 13.The May 2020 issue of Militant Leadership Monitor features a brief on Mullah...

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Dec 10
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Growing Azerbaijani–Central Asian Ties Likely to Trigger Conflicts With Russia and Iran

Growing Azerbaijani–Central Asian Ties Likely to Trigger Conflicts With Russia and Iran

Azerbaijan’s victory in the Second Karabakh War (September 29–November 9) has had a transformative effect on the country. It not only changed the attitudes of its population, whose members now feel themselves to be heroes rather than victims (see , January 21), but also bolstered the diplomatic weight and possibilities of the Azerbaijani government in its dealings with other regional states. In prosecuting a triumphant war against Yerevan, Baku demonstrated its own ability to act. But just as importantly, Azerbaijan has shown to peoples and governments in the Caucasus and Central Asia that...

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Feb 18
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Examining China’s Organ Transplantation System: The Nexus of Security, Medicine, and Predation / Part 2: Evidence for the Harvesting of Organs from Prisoners of Conscience - Jamestown

Examining China’s Organ Transplantation System: The Nexus of Security, Medicine, and Predation / Part 2: Evidence for the Harvesting of Organs from Prisoners of Conscience - Jamestown

Editor’s Note: For many years, stories have circulated about instances of alleged involuntary organ harvesting in the People’s Republic of China. However, due to the difficulty of confirming these accounts—and due perhaps as well to their lurid and disturbing nature—the veracity of these alleged accounts has long been left as an unresolved question. Matthew P. Robertson, research fellow with the Victims of Communism Memorial Foundation (VOC) and a PhD candidate in political science at the Australian National University, is engaged in an effort to direct an analytically rigorous approach...

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JamestownTweets
May 15
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Baltic Pipe Will Undermine Moscow’s Geopolitical Hopes for Nord Stream Two - Jamestown

Baltic Pipe Will Undermine Moscow’s Geopolitical Hopes for Nord Stream Two - Jamestown

Moscow has been rather explicit in that it wants to use the trans-Baltic Nord Stream Two natural gas pipeline to more aggressively dictate gas prices and transit conditions to Ukraine. But even as the project approaches completion, despite United States sanctions, it may ultimately fail to achieve that goal because of Baltic Pipe—an alternative north–south pipeline that will carry gas from Norway via Denmark to Poland, and from there, potentially also to Ukraine (, May 9). This is yet another example of the ways in which growing north-south linkages in Central and Eastern...

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JamestownTweets
May 12
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The Political Dimension of Russia’s Spy Games in Ukraine - Jamestown

The Political Dimension of Russia’s Spy Games in Ukraine - Jamestown

Since the beginning of the undeclared Russian-Ukrainian war in early 2014, the secret services of both countries have been key players in the conflict, particularly due to its “hybrid” nature. Covert operations, sabotage and espionage naturally all increased significantly compared to the pre-war years. Russian agents carried out numerous assassinations of Ukrainian officers, not only near the frontlines but also away from the combat zone—such as the car bomb killings, in 2017, of Colonel Oleksandr Kharaberyush, a counter-intelligence officer of the Security Service of Ukraine (SSU), in...

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JamestownTweets
Apr 30
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Russian Navy Readies for Future Conflicts in Arctic - Jamestown

Russian Navy Readies for Future Conflicts in Arctic - Jamestown

Expanding its military presence in the Arctic is currently one of the main priorities of Russian defense policy. Cold War–era military bases, mothballed after 1991, have, in recent years, been reactivated, renovated and expanded, while additional ones are being built.In Soviet times, attack and strategic nuclear submarines regularly deployed north of the polar circle. From there, they stood ready to launch ballistic missiles at North American targets through clearings in the floating ice cap, which covered the sea-based nuclear deterrent from anti-submarine assets of the United States and...

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JamestownTweets
May 15
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